Cincinnati vs Toledo 10/20/2012

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Cincinnati is a solid favorite with a 64% chance to beat Toledo. George Winn is projected for 87 rushing yards and a 69% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 36% of simulations where Toledo wins, Terrance Owens averages 1.85 TD passes vs 0.64 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.13 TDs to 0.87 interceptions. David Fluellen averages 112 rushing yards and 1.16 rushing TDs when Toledo wins and 101 yards and 0.66 TDs in losses. Cincinnati has a 38% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 76% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TOL +7.5

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